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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Heerenveen |
31.73% ( -0.04) | 23.54% ( -0.03) | 44.72% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 61.67% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60% ( 0.11) | 39.99% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.64% ( 0.12) | 62.35% ( -0.12) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.4% ( 0.03) | 24.6% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.9% ( 0.04) | 59.1% ( -0.05) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.79% ( 0.07) | 18.2% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.78% ( 0.12) | 49.22% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.73% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 44.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |