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Atlanta United
Austin FC
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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Austin FC

Dallas
2 - 1
Austin

Musa (4'), Ferreira (56')
Illarramendi (8'), Fraser (43'), Ntsabeleng (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Driussi (84' pen.)
Pereira (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Austin
Sunday, May 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 1-1 Austin FC

Dallas have been poor this year but both seven of their eight points have come on home soil. The hosts also have an ongoing unbeaten run at home against the visitors, who have struggled on the road as well. We expect a draw here as the home side are not in a great moment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawAustin FC
55.17% (-0.302 -0.3) 23.55% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 21.28% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.93% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.029000000000003 0.03)48.4% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.026 0.03)70.54% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.59% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)17.4% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.16% (-0.173 -0.17)47.83% (0.17 0.17)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87% (0.256 0.26)37.12% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.09% (0.254 0.25)73.91% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 55.16%
    Austin FC 21.28%
    Draw 23.54%
DallasDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.88% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 55.16%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.54%
0-1 @ 6.4% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.28%

How you voted: Dallas vs Austin

Dallas
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Austin FC
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 12.30am
Austin
2-1
Dallas
Cascante (54'), Rubio (70')
Wolff (20'), Wolff (24'), Rubio (58'), Cascante (88')
Ansah (51')
Paes (19'), Burgess (90+9')
Aug 27, 2023 1.30am
Dallas
1-0
Austin
Burgess (90+7')
Arriola (13'), Farfan (27'), Jimenez (56'), Illarramendi (74')

Pereira (45')
Pereira (67')
Jun 22, 2023 4.07am
Austin
3-0
Dallas
Finlay (17'), Fagundez (42'), Zardes (58')
Wolff (26'), Finlay (85')

Quignon (25')
May 14, 2023 1.30am
Oct 24, 2022 1am
Conference Semi-Finals
Austin
2-1
Dallas
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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