Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Orlando City |
51.79% ( -0.02) | 23.37% ( 0.01) | 24.85% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.95% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.13% ( -0.05) | 43.87% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.74% ( -0.05) | 66.26% ( 0.05) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.03% ( -0.02) | 16.98% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.92% ( -0.04) | 47.08% ( 0.04) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.59% ( -0.02) | 31.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.21% ( -0.02) | 67.79% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Orlando City |
2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.76% Total : 24.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |