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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Subaru Park
Minnesota United

Philadelphia
2 - 0
Minnesota Utd

Gazdag (16'), Carranza (84')
Andres Martinez (64'), Harriel (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dotson (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-1 Minnesota United

Both teams have had little problem finding the back of the net of late, so we expect an open and exciting contest here. We can also see the sides cancelling each other out to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawMinnesota United
54.94% (-1.191 -1.19) 22.19% (0.504 0.5) 22.88% (0.695 0.7)
Both teams to score 58.64% (-0.809 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.45% (-1.499 -1.5)40.56% (1.508 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.07% (-1.557 -1.56)62.94% (1.565 1.57)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (-0.884 -0.88)14.71% (0.892 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.1% (-1.727 -1.73)42.9% (1.735 1.74)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)31.26% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.4% (-0.26799999999999 -0.27)67.6% (0.276 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 54.94%
    Minnesota United 22.88%
    Draw 22.18%
Philadelphia UnionDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.328 0.33)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-0 @ 5.4% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.129 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 54.94%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.311 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.147 0.15)
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.329 0.33)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.173 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 22.88%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Philadelphia
1-1
Minnesota Utd
Burke (35')
Glesnes (41'), Andres Martinez (51')
Lod (23')
Boxall (74'), Lod (79'), Reynoso (85')
Oct 21, 2021 1am
Jun 2, 2019 9pm
Gameweek 19
Minnesota Utd
2-3
Philadelphia
Dotson (28'), Molino (77')
Kallman (17')
Monteiro (18' pen.), Medunjanin (44'), Trusty (86')
Aaronson (45'), Wagner (89'), Gaddis (91'), Blake (93')
Oct 7, 2018 12.30am
Gameweek 37
Philadelphia
5-1
Minnesota Utd
Burke (8'), Bedoya (17'), Picault (23', 44'), Ilsinho (79')
Bedoya (56'), Picault (72')
Quintero (54')
Gomez (72'), Bob (75')
Sep 10, 2017 1am
Minnesota Utd
1-1
Philadelphia
Finlay (40')
Sapong (5')
Wijnaldum (38'), Chijioke Onyewu (55'), Pereira Dias Junior (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
10am
Baez
Fritz
10am
Griekspoor
Rune
10am
Humbert
Struff
10am
Hurkacz
Altmaier
10am
Paul
Cerundolo
10am
Rublev
Davidovich Fokina
10am
Seyboth Wild
Alcaraz
10am
Shapovalov
Zverev
10.05am
Sherif
Rybakina
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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