Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Minnesota United |
54.94% ( -1.19) | 22.19% ( 0.5) | 22.88% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 58.64% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.45% ( -1.5) | 40.56% ( 1.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.07% ( -1.56) | 62.94% ( 1.57) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.29% ( -0.88) | 14.71% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.1% ( -1.73) | 42.9% ( 1.74) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.75% ( -0.23) | 31.26% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.4% ( -0.27) | 67.6% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Minnesota United |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.94% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.73% Total : 22.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |