Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 72.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Western United had a probability of 13.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
72.19% ( 0.13) | 14.75% ( -0.04) | 13.05% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 67.07% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.6% ( -0.06) | 21.4% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.93% ( -0.08) | 40.06% ( 0.09) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.71% ( 0.01) | 5.28% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.17% ( 0.02) | 20.83% ( -0.02) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.82% ( -0.17) | 29.18% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.88% ( -0.2) | 65.12% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 6-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 4.8% Total : 72.19% | 1-1 @ 5.59% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 14.75% | 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.9% 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 13.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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