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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 54.19%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 23.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
54.19% ( -1.39) | 22.26% ( 0.13) | 23.55% ( 1.26) |
Both teams to score 59.27% ( 1.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.88% ( 0.85) | 40.12% ( -0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.52% ( 0.87) | 62.49% ( -0.87) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.2% ( -0.16) | 14.8% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.92% ( -0.31) | 43.08% ( 0.31) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.56% ( 1.56) | 30.44% ( -1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% ( 1.81) | 66.65% ( -1.8) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.08% Total : 54.19% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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