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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 59.64%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 20.38% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Southampton |
59.64% ( 0.91) | 19.98% ( 0.1) | 20.38% ( -1.01) |
Both teams to score 62.9% ( -2.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.69% ( -1.98) | 33.31% ( 1.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.92% ( -2.3) | 55.08% ( 2.3) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.01% ( -0.37) | 10.99% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.74% ( -0.82) | 35.26% ( 0.83) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.67% ( -2.04) | 29.33% ( 2.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.69% ( -2.58) | 65.31% ( 2.58) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.57) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.62) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.09% Total : 59.64% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.98% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.05% Total : 20.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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