Europa Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
Olympiacos2 - 0Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Aston Villa fail to progress to the Europa Conference League final after losing 6-2 on aggregate to Olympiacos in the semi-finals.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Olympiacos and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Olympiacos
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
Result | ||
Olympiacos | Draw | Aston Villa |
61.41% ( 0.26) | 20.46% ( -0.07) | 18.12% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 56.89% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.74% ( 0.03) | 39.26% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.41% ( 0.03) | 61.59% ( -0.03) |
Olympiacos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.67% ( 0.08) | 12.33% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.87% ( 0.17) | 38.13% ( -0.17) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.89% ( -0.18) | 35.11% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.14% ( -0.18) | 71.86% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Olympiacos 61.41%
Aston Villa 18.12%
Draw 20.46%
Olympiacos | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.82% Total : 61.41% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.46% | 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 18.12% |
How you voted: Olympiacos vs Aston Villa
Olympiacos
40.3%Draw
13.8%Aston Villa
45.9%283
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-12 06:45:07
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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