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Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Inter Miami

Montreal
2 - 3
Inter Miami

Duke (22'), Vilsaint (32')
Piette (43')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Rojas (44'), Suarez (45+3'), Cremaschi (59')
Krivtsov (55'), Busquets (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-4 Inter Miami

Le CFM have conceded four or more goals in three domestic away fixtures this season, and that was against three low-scoring teams in the Seattle Sounders, Chicago Fire and Nashville, so we imagine that a quality side like Miami would do a lot of damage against them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawInter Miami
40.46% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1) 22.98% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01) 36.56% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 65.33% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.18% (0.084000000000003 0.08)35.82% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.1% (0.092999999999996 0.09)57.89% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)18.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)49.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (0.087999999999994 0.09)20.05% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (0.144 0.14)52.27% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 40.46%
    Inter Miami 36.56%
    Draw 22.97%
CF MontrealDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 40.46%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.56%

How you voted: Montreal vs Inter Miami

CF Montreal
8.2%
Draw
8.2%
Inter Miami
83.7%
49
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 9pm
Inter Miami
2-3
Montreal
Campana (71'), Alba (80')
Redondo (19'), Aviles (49'), Krivtsov (57'), Campana (86'), Allen (90+3')
Alvarez (13'), Coccaro (75'), Sunusi (78')
Vilsaint (63'), Edwards (90+3')
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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