Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 55.55%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
55.55% ( 5.17) | 21.72% ( -1.96) | 22.73% ( -3.22) |
Both teams to score 60.1% ( 3.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.46% ( 5.74) | 38.53% ( -5.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.17% ( 5.82) | 60.83% ( -5.82) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.17% ( 3.83) | 13.83% ( -3.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.81% ( 7.08) | 41.18% ( -7.08) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% ( 0.49) | 30.25% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.57% ( 0.58) | 66.42% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -1.14) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.89) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.68) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.58) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.78) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.63) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.49) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.43) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.35) Other @ 3.48% Total : 55.55% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( -1.21) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -1.24) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.63) 0-1 @ 5% ( -1.4) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.79) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.95% Total : 22.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |