Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toronto win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 29.14% and a draw has a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.38%).
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
44.81% ( 0.04) | 26.05% ( 0.01) | 29.14% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.72% ( -0.04) | 52.27% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.03% ( -0.04) | 73.97% ( 0.03) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% ( 0) | 23.25% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.83% ( 0) | 57.16% ( -0) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.5% ( -0.05) | 32.5% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.97% ( -0.06) | 69.03% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |