Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
41.57% ( -0) | 25.69% | 32.74% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.61% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.6% ( -0) | 49.39% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.56% ( -0) | 71.43% ( 0) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.43% ( -0) | 23.57% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.37% ( -0.01) | 57.63% ( 0.01) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.44% ( 0) | 28.55% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.66% ( 0) | 64.34% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2% Total : 41.57% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |