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Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11.20pm UK
BMO Field
Orlando City

Toronto
0 - 2
Orlando City

FT(HT: 0-0)
McGuire (63', 74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-2 Orlando City

We want to think having nothing to lose and being under new management would change the Reds' fate this weekend, but there is just too much working against the home side in all areas of the field for us to believe they can claim even a single point out of nowhere.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawOrlando City
36.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.02% (0.00099999999999767 0) 37.35% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 54.16% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)50.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)26.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)61.84% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.2% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71%61.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 36.62%
    Orlando City 37.35%
    Draw 26.02%
TorontoDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 9.23%
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.62%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 2.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.35%

How you voted: Toronto vs Orlando City

Toronto
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Orlando City
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 5, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
4-0
Toronto
Araujo (16'), McGuire (22'), Dan Thor­halls­son (77'), Kara (84')
Gallese (62')

Coello (45+1'), Bernardeschi (47'), Petretta (80')
Bernardeschi (62')
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
May 14, 2022 8pm
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Toronto
1-1
Orlando City
Altidore (72')
Bono (76')

Schlegel (68'), Perea (79')
Jun 20, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Toronto
2-3
Orlando City
Akinola (10'), Osorio (39')
Delgado (64'), Gonzalez (67')
Akindele (1'), Urso (84')
Urso (70'), Moutinho (75'), Nani (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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