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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
New England Revolution

Orlando City
3 - 2
New England

McGuire (31'), Torres (37'), Angulo (45')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Gil (42', 90+3')
McNamara (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 0-1 Orlando City
Thursday, October 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-0 New England Revolution

While Orlando City and New England Revolution have already secured post-season football, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Exploria Stadium as both sides look to finish the regular season strong. The Lions have been near impenetrable at home in recent weeks and we fancy them coming out on top in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
56.24% (-0.679 -0.68) 22.03% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 21.72% (0.639 0.64)
Both teams to score 57.55% (0.829 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.76% (0.65000000000001 0.65)41.24% (-0.653 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.36% (0.658 0.66)63.63% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.48% (0.0019999999999953 0)14.52% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.46% (0.0039999999999978 0)42.54% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33% (0.965 0.97)32.67% (-0.968 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (1.066 1.07)69.21% (-1.068 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 56.24%
    New England Revolution 21.72%
    Draw 22.03%
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.272 -0.27)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 56.24%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.129 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.133 0.13)
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.97% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 21.72%

How you voted: Orlando City vs New England

Orlando City
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
New England Revolution
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 12.30am
New England
3-1
Orlando City
Boateng (51'), Bou (69'), Gil (85')
Buck (84'), Edwards Jr. (90+3'), Edwards Jr. (90+4')
McGuire (80')
Araujo (3'), Halliday (22')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
0-3
New England

Carlos (6'), Jansson (66'), Araujo (85')
Polster (20'), Kaptoum (51'), Kessler (75')
Oct 25, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 40
Orlando City
2-2
New England
Nani (39'), Dike (50' pen.)
Buksa (81', 90+3')
Sep 26, 2021 12am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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