Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
41.79% ( -0.41) | 25.18% ( -0.16) | 33.03% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 56.42% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.91% ( 0.87) | 47.09% ( -0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.67% ( 0.8) | 69.33% ( -0.8) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.54% ( 0.18) | 22.46% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44% ( 0.26) | 56% ( -0.26) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.76% ( 0.78) | 27.24% ( -0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.33% ( 1.01) | 62.67% ( -1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.79% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 3% Total : 33.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |