Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw has a probability of 20% and a win for Cagliari has a probability of 15.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Cagliari win it is 0-1 (4.52%).
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
64.59% ( 0.11) | 20% ( -0.02) | 15.4% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 52.43% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.78% ( -0.1) | 42.22% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.38% ( -0.1) | 64.62% ( 0.09) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.66% | 12.33% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.85% ( 0) | 38.14% ( -0.01) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.81% ( -0.18) | 40.18% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.18% ( -0.16) | 76.82% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.46% Total : 64.59% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20% | 0-1 @ 4.52% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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