Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Chicago Fire |
53.49% ( -0.27) | 24.29% ( 0.11) | 22.22% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 50.91% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.61% ( -0.26) | 50.39% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.67% ( -0.23) | 72.32% ( 0.23) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.23% ( -0.2) | 18.77% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.83% ( -0.34) | 50.17% ( 0.34) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.67% ( 0.01) | 37.32% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.89% ( 0.01) | 74.11% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.49% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 22.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 25 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 22 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
6 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 14 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 12 |
11 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |