Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw has a probability of 21.2% and a win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Celta Vigo win it is 0-1 (5.07%).
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
61.59% ( 1.08) | 21.19% ( -0.28) | 17.23% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 52.55% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.89% ( -0.11) | 44.11% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.51% ( -0.11) | 66.49% ( 0.12) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.2% ( 0.29) | 13.8% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.87% ( 0.58) | 41.13% ( -0.57) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.96% ( -1) | 39.04% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.24% ( -0.96) | 75.76% ( 0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 61.58% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.18% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.11% Total : 17.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |