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Major League Soccer
Aug 31, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Montreal Impact

NY City
2 - 0
Montreal

Jasson (30'), Bakrar (37')
Perea (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Waterman (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 NY City
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-0 New England
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-0 CF Montreal

The Pigeons always seem to have their way with Montreal, and we expect to see them assert their dominance against a side who have looked a lot more vulnerable on the road when compared to their defensive record at home.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.

Result
New York City FCDrawCF Montreal
60.14% (-0.494 -0.49) 21.35% (0.214 0.21) 18.51% (0.279 0.28)
Both teams to score 54.52% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27% (-0.513 -0.51)42.73% (0.513 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87% (-0.513 -0.51)65.13% (0.512 0.51)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.2% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)13.79% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.88% (-0.625 -0.63)41.12% (0.625 0.63)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.24% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)36.76% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.45% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)73.54% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 60.14%
    CF Montreal 18.51%
    Draw 21.35%
New York City FCDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.109 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.57% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.57% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.25% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 60.14%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.112 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.35%
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.03% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.54% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 18.51%

How you voted: NY City vs Montreal

New York City FC
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
CF Montreal
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 2.03am
Montreal
0-1
NY City

Lassiter (30')
Pellegrini (33')
Pellegrini (29'), Ilencic (64'), Rodriguez (85')
Oct 23, 2022 6pm
Conference Semi-Finals
Montreal
1-3
NY City
Moralez (6'), Heber (45+3'), Magno (61' pen.)
Jul 31, 2022 12.30am
Mar 12, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 3
NY City
4-1
Montreal
Callens (7'), Rodriguez (20'), Magno (64'), Andrade (83')
Morales (22')
Jul 22, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 18
NY City
1-0
Montreal
Chanot (62')
Waterman (42'), Hamdi Hussein Hafez (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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