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Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Minnesota United

NY City
0 - 2
Minnesota Utd


Sands (32'), Pellegrini (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gregus (53'), Garcia (90+5')
Trapp (60'), Reynoso (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, July 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, July 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 Minnesota United

The Pigeons have been underwhelming through much of the 2023 campaign but made some good signings during the secondary transfer window, which should enable them to be more clinical in the attacking third. Meanwhile, Minnesota have been a lot more potent in front of goal lately but not nearly as sharp on the back end, and we expect them to give up as many chances as they create on Sunday.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawMinnesota United
55.52% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 22.79% (0.0019999999999989 0) 21.68% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)15.96% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.75% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)45.25% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)34.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (0.016999999999999 0.02)71.39% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 55.52%
    Minnesota United 21.68%
    Draw 22.79%
New York City FCDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.47%
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 55.52%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 21.68%

How you voted: NY City vs Minnesota Utd

New York City FC
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Minnesota United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 8
Minnesota Utd
3-3
NY City
Alonso (13'), Rodriguez (20'), Johnson (32' og.)
Alonso (8'), Calvo (70')
Castellanos (16'), Tajouri (18', 64')
Sep 30, 2018 1am
Gameweek 36
Minnesota Utd
2-1
NY City
Rodriguez (20', 36')
Warner (45'), Calvo (54'), Shuttleworth (89')
Warner (77')
Wallace (91')
Ring (21')
Jun 30, 2017 12.30am
NY City
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Callens (38'), Harrison (52'), Villa (63')
Wallace (0'), 68 (0'), Villa (45')
Ramirez (9')
Molino (23'), Venegas (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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