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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Borussia Dortmund has a probability of 28.49% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.84%).
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
49.16% ( 2.6) | 22.35% ( -0.46) | 28.49% ( -2.15) |
Both teams to score 63.98% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.91% ( 0.88) | 36.09% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.8% ( 0.96) | 58.2% ( -0.96) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.95% ( 1.26) | 15.05% ( -1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.44% ( 2.33) | 43.56% ( -2.33) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.31% ( -0.9) | 24.69% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.78% ( -1.27) | 59.22% ( 1.27) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.28) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.15) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.16% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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