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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Dortmund logo

Mainz
vs.
Dortmund

Coverage of the Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, May 5 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Borussia Dortmund has a probability of 28.49% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.84%).

Result
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Dortmund
49.16% (2.6 2.6) 22.35% (-0.456 -0.46) 28.49% (-2.145 -2.15)
Both teams to score 63.98% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.91% (0.87799999999999 0.88)36.09% (-0.879 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.8% (0.95699999999999 0.96)58.2% (-0.96 -0.96)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.95% (1.256 1.26)15.05% (-1.255 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.44% (2.329 2.33)43.56% (-2.329 -2.33)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.89699999999999 -0.9)24.69% (0.897 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (-1.272 -1.27)59.22% (1.271 1.27)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 49.16%
    Borussia Dortmund 28.49%
    Draw 22.35%
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.159 0.16)
1-0 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.282 0.28)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.346 0.35)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.349 0.35)
3-2 @ 4.12% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.275 0.28)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.243 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.146 0.15)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.145 0.15)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 49.16%
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.92% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.369 -0.37)
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.373 -0.37)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 28.49%

Who will win Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz and Dortmund?

Mainz 05
Draw
Borussia Dortmund
Mainz 05
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Borussia Dortmund
100%
1
Head to Head
Dec 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Dortmund
1-1
Mainz
Brandt (29')
Van den Berg (43')
Bell (39'), Burkardt (85'), Krauss (90'), Barkok (90+2')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Dortmund
2-2
Mainz
Guerreiro (69'), Sule (90+6')
Guerreiro (40')
Hanche-Olsen (15'), Onisiwo (24')
Fernandes (71')
Jan 25, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mainz
1-2
Dortmund
Ryerson (4'), Reyna (90+3')
Mar 16, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Mainz
0-1
Dortmund

Bell (43'), Stach (49'), Lucoqui (90+2')
Witsel (87')
Wolf (43'), Dahoud (44'), Pongracic (45+3'), Witsel (90+3')
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Dortmund
3-1
Mainz
Reus (3'), Braut Haaland (54' pen., 90+4')
Schulz (13'), Akanji (35')
Burkardt (87')
Bell (50'), Svensson (54'), Ingvartsen (64'), Tauer (71'), Niakhate (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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