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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.72%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
41.8% ( 0.14) | 22.41% ( -0.03) | 35.79% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 67.41% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.93% ( 0.14) | 33.06% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.2% ( 0.16) | 54.8% ( -0.16) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.41% ( 0.11) | 16.59% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.61% ( 0.2) | 46.39% ( -0.2) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% ( 0.01) | 19.18% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.14% ( 0.02) | 50.86% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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