The Match
Match Report
Borussia Dortmund book their spot in the quarter-finals of the Champions League courtesy of a 2-0 victory over PSV Eindhoven in the second leg of their last-16 contest.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 PSV
Friday, March 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, March 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.9%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
30.66% ( -0.7) | 21.46% ( 0.13) | 47.88% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 68.95% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.77% ( -1.07) | 30.23% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.53% ( -1.3) | 51.47% ( 1.31) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.55% ( -0.9) | 20.45% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.1% ( -1.46) | 52.9% ( 1.47) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.67% ( -0.21) | 13.33% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.81% ( -0.43) | 40.19% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund 30.66%
PSV Eindhoven 47.88%
Draw 21.46%
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.66% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.97% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 3-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 47.88% |
How you voted: Dortmund vs PSV
Borussia Dortmund
70.4%Draw
18.0%PSV Eindhoven
11.6%361
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
PSV
1-1
Dortmund
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-09 04:15:09
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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