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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 13.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
13.72% ( -0.16) | 17.46% ( 0.01) | 68.82% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 57.29% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.2% ( -0.46) | 33.8% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.36% ( -0.52) | 55.64% ( 0.52) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.9% ( -0.52) | 37.1% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.12% ( -0.52) | 73.88% ( 0.52) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.08% ( -0.08) | 8.91% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.53% ( -0.21) | 30.47% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 13.72% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 17.46% | 0-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 7.79% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 7.72% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 4.71% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 4.67% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 0-6 @ 0.92% 1-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 68.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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