MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 20:22:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
PSV

Ajax
1 - 1
PSV

Berghuis (19')
Hato (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
de Jong (34')
Schouten (72'), Ramalho (76'), Lozano (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 2-4 Ajax
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Almere City
Saturday, January 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

Given the plethora of attacking talent on display, we are backing both teams to get on the scoresheet here. That said, we can also see PSV just about edging out their hosts to claim all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.2%) and 1-0 (4.92%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
42.17% (0.86 0.86) 21.69% (-0.128 -0.13) 36.13% (-0.735 -0.73)
Both teams to score 70.33% (0.372 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.69% (0.53 0.53)29.31% (-0.531 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.64% (0.644 0.64)50.35% (-0.644 -0.64)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.08% (0.536 0.54)14.91% (-0.538 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.7% (1.01 1.01)43.29% (-1.012 -1.01)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)17.33% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28% (-0.148 -0.15)47.71% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 42.17%
    PSV Eindhoven 36.13%
    Draw 21.69%
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.119 0.12)
1-0 @ 4.92% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.56% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.076 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.061 0.06)
4-3 @ 1.27% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 42.17%
1-1 @ 8.62% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 7.19% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.66% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 21.69%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.17% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 36.13%

How you voted: Ajax vs PSV

Ajax
29.5%
Draw
23.0%
PSV Eindhoven
47.5%
61
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
PSV
5-2
Ajax
Lozano (20', 60', 72'), De Jong (49'), Saibari (52')
Saibari (90')
Van den Boomen (10'), Brobbey (40')
Hato (13'), Bergwijn (62')
Apr 30, 2023 5pm
Final
Ajax
1-1
PSV
PSV win 3-2 on penalties
Branthwaite (42' og.)
Hazard (67')
Apr 23, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
PSV
3-0
Ajax
De Jong (13', 78'), Simons (54' pen.)
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
Ajax
1-2
PSV
Lucca (83')
De Jong (23'), Gutierrez (50')
Jul 30, 2022 7pm
Final
Ajax
3-5
PSV
Bergwijn (15'), Antony (54'), Kudus (72')
Berghuis (41'), Alvarez (45+4'), Rensch (90'), Kudus (90+4'), Tadic (90+7')
Bassey (78')
Til (32', 45+2', 69'), Gakpo (65'), Simons (90+1')
Benitez (41'), Sangare (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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