Considering at least three goals have been scored in each of the last six meetings between the two teams, an entertaining contest is set to take place on Sunday, with both sides seeking to end the weekend in second place.
PSV will be regarded as slight favourites being on home soil and having won the last three encounters with Ajax, but we believe that the visitors will do enough to pick up a point at the Philips Stadion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.46%) and 1-0 (4.86%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
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