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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
67.69% ( 0.32) | 16.83% ( -0.13) | 15.48% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 65% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.59% ( 0.25) | 26.41% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.26% ( 0.31) | 46.74% ( -0.31) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.74% ( 0.13) | 7.26% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.7% ( 0.33) | 26.3% ( -0.33) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.09% ( -0.05) | 29.91% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.99% ( -0.06) | 66.01% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.76% Total : 67.69% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.43% Total : 16.83% | 1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.27% Total : 15.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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