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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Dortmund logo

Borussia M'bach
4 - 2
Dortmund

Hofmann (4'), Bensebaini (26'), Thuram (30'), Kone (46')
Stindl (9')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Brandt (19'), Schlotterbeck (40')
Hummels (25'), Guerreiro (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Gladbach appear to be struggling from a lack of belief at present, and we expect Dortmund to punish them on Friday night. BVB's defeat to Wolfsburg was disappointing but no disgrace given Kovac's side's form of late, and they will be determined to ensure that their gap behind Bayern does not grow during the final weekend of action prior to the World Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.51%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBorussia Dortmund
25.99% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 20.83% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 53.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 67.41% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.33% (0.076999999999998 0.08)30.66% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.01% (0.092000000000006 0.09)51.98% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51% (0.063000000000002 0.06)23.48% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (0.094999999999999 0.09)57.5% (-0.104 -0.1)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.1% (0.012 0.01)11.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.78% (0.038000000000004 0.04)37.21% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 25.99%
    Borussia Dortmund 53.17%
    Draw 20.83%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 4.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 25.99%
1-1 @ 8.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.28% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 2.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.39% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 53.17%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Dortmund

Borussia Monchengladbach
20.6%
Draw
12.5%
Borussia Dortmund
66.9%
160
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 4.30pm
Dortmund
6-0
Borussia M'bach
Reus (26', 82'), Malen (32'), Wolf (70'), Moukoko (74'), Can (90+1' pen.)
Zagadou (12'), Dahoud (35')

Bensebaini (14')
Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-0
Dortmund
Zakaria (37')
Zakaria (13'), Stindl (33'), Netz (45+2'), Kone (59')

Dahoud (10'), Pongracic (35'), Bellingham (85')
Dahoud (40')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Borussia M'bach
0-1
Dortmund

Stindl (32'), Bensebaini (90+2')
Sancho (66')
Dahoud (29'), Reus (50'), Hitz (90+5')
Dahoud (90+2')
Jan 22, 2021 7.30pm
Sep 19, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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