MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 13:58:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Mainz logo

Freiburg
1 - 1
Mainz

Gregoritsch (6')
Kubler (31'), Hofler (42'), Holer (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Burkardt (40')
Jae-sung (35'), Krauss (62'), Caci (71'), van den Berg (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 0-1 Freiburg
Sunday, April 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 4-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Mainz 05

 Despite the difference in league positions, this has all the potential to be a thoroughly-competitive fixture that could go either way. Mainz will back themselves to earn at least a draw, yet we fancy Freiburg to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
52.01% (1.812 1.81) 22.12% (0.054000000000002 0.05) 25.87% (-1.872 -1.87)
Both teams to score 62.44% (-1.994 -1.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.9% (-1.868 -1.87)37.1% (1.863 1.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.7% (-2.047 -2.05)59.29% (2.04 2.04)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.54% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)14.46% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.57% (-0.133 -0.13)42.43% (0.127 0.13)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-2.273 -2.27)27% (2.267 2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (-3.075 -3.08)62.35% (3.068 3.07)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 52.01%
    Mainz 05 25.87%
    Draw 22.12%
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.215 0.22)
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.65 0.65)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.612 0.61)
3-1 @ 6.16% (0.124 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.385 0.39)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.181 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.093 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 52.01%
1-1 @ 9.89% (0.245 0.24)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.269 -0.27)
0-0 @ 3.9% (0.344 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-1 @ 5.11% (0.139 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 3%
Total : 25.87%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Mainz

Freiburg
69.1%
Draw
18.2%
Mainz 05
12.7%
55
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-1
Freiburg

Barreiro (29')
Gregoritsch (69')
Sallai (87')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 25
Mainz
1-1
Freiburg
Onisiwo (90+6')
Doan (55')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Freiburg
2-1
Mainz
Gregoritsch (3'), Kyereh (37')
Caricol (52')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Freiburg
1-1
Mainz
Petersen (69')
Hack (31')
Stach (7'), Kohr (76')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Mainz
0-0
Freiburg
Hack (45'), Zentner (90+3')
Schlotterbeck (64')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!