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New York City
Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Citi Field
DC United

NY City
2 - 0
DC United

Rodriguez (20'), Fernandez (90+1')
Bakrar (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Akinmboni (34'), Bartlett (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-0 New England
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-3 Orlando City
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 DC United

New York should have a lot more confidence following their performance last weekend, and we believe their overall individual quality will be able to outlast a DC side, who have looked better than their recent results suggest, but without Klich, may have difficulty unlocking the opposing backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawDC United
58.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 22.59% (0.0020000000000024 0) 18.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.61% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52% (-0.061 -0.06)48% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.83% (-0.055 -0.05)70.17% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.98% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)45.28% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)39.76% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.073 -0.07)76.43% (0.074000000000012 0.07)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 58.82%
    DC United 18.58%
    Draw 22.59%
New York City FCDrawDC United
1-0 @ 11.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.68% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.53% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 58.82%
1-1 @ 10.74%
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 18.58%

How you voted: NY City vs DC United

New York City FC
100%
Draw
0.0%
DC United
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
DC United
2-0
NY City
Klich (45'), Durkin (62')
Birnbaum (45+1'), Canouse (67'), Klich (90+2')

O'Toole (74'), Perea (90+6')
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
May 19, 2022 12.30am
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7New York City FCNY City114251111014
8DC United113531617-114
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331715218
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
12Seattle SoundersSeattle10235131309
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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