Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Inter Miami |
43.04% ( -0.06) | 23.89% ( 0.02) | 33.07% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 60.99% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.87% ( -0.05) | 41.13% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.47% ( -0.05) | 63.52% ( 0.06) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.62% ( -0.04) | 19.37% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.82% ( -0.07) | 51.17% ( 0.08) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% ( -0) | 24.36% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.24% | 58.76% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |