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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
FC Twente logo

AZ
2 - 1
FC Twente

van Bommel (46'), Pavlidis (66')
van Bommel (8'), Sadiq (50'), Belic (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Steijn (5')
Propper (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 0-3 AZ
Sunday, April 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-1 Almere City
Wednesday, April 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-2 FC Twente

AZ Alkmaar must win this match, but the fact that FC Twente can confirm a third-place finish with three points here will ensure that this is a tense match. However, the overall form and consistency of the visitors throughout this season is likely going to be the difference-maker here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Twente
54.7% (-1.03 -1.03) 21.69% (0.278 0.28) 23.61% (0.747 0.75)
Both teams to score 61.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.65% (-0.458 -0.46)37.35% (0.454 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.43% (-0.494 -0.49)59.57% (0.489 0.49)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.3% (-0.47 -0.47)13.69% (0.465 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.08% (-0.935 -0.94)40.92% (0.932 0.93)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (0.361 0.36)28.87% (-0.365 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (0.445 0.45)64.73% (-0.449 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 54.7%
    FC Twente 23.61%
    Draw 21.69%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 54.7%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.047 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.086 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.69%
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.15 0.15)
0-1 @ 4.91% (0.156 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.127 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.045 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 23.61%

How you voted: AZ vs FC Twente

AZ Alkmaar
34.9%
Draw
30.2%
FC Twente
34.9%
43
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 17
FC Twente
2-1
AZ
Ugalde (42', 70')
Eiting (66'), Taha (86'), Propper (90+2')
Odgaard (4')
Martins Indi (65'), Bazoer (86')
Mar 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 26
FC Twente
2-1
AZ
Ugalde (8', 11')
Karlsson (66')
Sep 11, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 6
AZ
1-1
FC Twente
Odgaard (54')
Ugalde (81')
Mar 13, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 23
AZ
0-1
FC Twente
Brenet (62')
Sadilek (38'), Propper (79')
Sep 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
FC Twente
3-1
AZ
Van Wolfswinkel (1'), Rots (17'), Limnios (90+1')
Propper (57')
Karlsson (44')
Martins Indi (39'), de Wit (51'), Gudmundsson (84'), Hatzidiakos (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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