Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 34.11% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
39.17% ( 1.5) | 26.72% ( -0.68) | 34.11% ( -0.83) |
Both teams to score 51.6% ( 2.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.59% ( 2.59) | 53.4% ( -2.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.06% ( 2.14) | 74.94% ( -2.15) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.35% ( 2.08) | 26.65% ( -2.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.11% ( 2.68) | 61.89% ( -2.68) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.35% ( 0.76) | 29.65% ( -0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.3% ( 0.91) | 65.7% ( -0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.84) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.8) 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |