MX23RW : Monday, April 29 22:38:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 13, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Waalwijk logo

AZ
3 - 2
RKC Waalwijk

Sugawara (66'), Sadiq (75'), Pavlidis (77')
Goes (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Min (3', 42')
Min (67'), Lokesa (74'), Vaessen (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 5-1 AZ
Saturday, April 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, April 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 RKC Waalwijk

AZ are currently undergoing a rough patch but will still fancy their chances of securing maximum points from this one. We fully expect the hosts to get the job done with relative ease come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
78.07% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 13.68% (0.035 0.04) 8.24% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.59% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)31.41% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.13% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)52.87% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.55% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)6.45% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.87% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)24.13% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.87% (0.022000000000006 0.02)45.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.96% (0.016000000000002 0.02)81.03% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 78.07%
    RKC Waalwijk 8.24%
    Draw 13.68%
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-0 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.99% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.98% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 6.85% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.75% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-0 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.37% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 78.07%
1-1 @ 6.35% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.46% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.68%
1-2 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 8.24%

How you voted: AZ vs RKC Waalwijk

AZ Alkmaar
82.1%
Draw
10.7%
RKC Waalwijk
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 2
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
AZ
Kramer (41' pen.)
Kramer (58'), Margaret (76')
Pavlidis (54', 79'), De Wit (59')
Poku (63')
Apr 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 30
AZ
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Mijnans (8'), Lahdo (50'), Van Brederode (63')
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
RKC Waalwijk
3-1
AZ
Bel Hassani (32'), Bakkali (87', 90+1')
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
AZ
1-3
RKC Waalwijk
De Wit (45+1')
Stokkers (18'), Gaari (64'), Kuijpers (79')
Feb 9, 2022 6pm
Quarter-Finals
RKC Waalwijk
0-4
AZ

Nieuwpoort (60')
De Wit (8'), Pavlidis (23'), Karlsson (33' pen.), Aboukhlal (71')
Reijnders (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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