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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
66.82% ( 0.09) | 17.92% ( 0.06) | 15.26% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 59.85% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.52% ( -0.61) | 32.47% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.88% ( -0.71) | 54.12% ( 0.7) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.98% ( -0.14) | 9.01% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.29% ( -0.34) | 30.7% ( 0.34) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.78% ( -0.57) | 34.21% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.09% ( -0.62) | 70.91% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.07% 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 5.03% Total : 66.82% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.92% | 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 15.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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