Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
59.75% ( 0.07) | 20.93% ( 0.2) | 19.33% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 57.52% ( -1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.51% ( -1.34) | 39.48% ( 1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.17% ( -1.41) | 61.82% ( 1.41) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% ( -0.4) | 12.87% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.73% ( -0.83) | 39.27% ( 0.83) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.02% ( -1.05) | 33.97% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.34% ( -1.15) | 70.65% ( 1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 59.75% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.93% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |