Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 57.89%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
57.89% ( -1.17) | 20.89% ( 0.24) | 21.22% ( 0.94) |
Both teams to score 60.88% ( 0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.47% ( 0.18) | 36.54% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.32% ( 0.2) | 58.68% ( -0.19) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.53% ( -0.27) | 12.47% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.56% ( -0.58) | 38.44% ( 0.58) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.55% ( 0.97) | 30.45% ( -0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% ( 1.13) | 66.66% ( -1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.12% Total : 57.89% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.89% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.84% Total : 21.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |