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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Austin
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Rubio (56'), Gallagher (58')
Wolff (34'), Biro (45+6'), Rubio (56'), Cascante (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gazdag (14' pen.), Uhre (65')
Sullivan (33'), Carranza (45+5'), Andres Martinez (62'), Elliott (70'), Gazdag (81'), Lowe (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Pachuca 6-0 Philadelphia
Wednesday, March 13 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Austin FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Clean sheets have been at a premium for both sides of late, and we expect neither of them to come away unbroken from this one. We are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
45.47% (-1.413 -1.41) 24.96% (0.643 0.64) 29.57% (0.776 0.78)
Both teams to score 55.55% (-1.637 -1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.48% (-2.379 -2.38)47.52% (2.384 2.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (-2.241 -2.24)69.72% (2.245 2.25)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-1.566 -1.57)20.94% (1.572 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-2.514 -2.51)53.68% (2.519 2.52)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)29.74% (0.667 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (-0.812 -0.81)65.81% (0.816 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 45.47%
    Philadelphia Union 29.57%
    Draw 24.96%
Austin FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.494 0.49)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.224 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 45.47%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.39 0.39)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.597 0.6)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.596 0.6)
1-2 @ 7.16% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.283 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Austin vs Philadelphia

Austin FC
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Philadelphia Union
14.3%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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