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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Excelsior

FC Twente
4 - 2
Excelsior

Ugalde (45'), van Wolfswinkel (59' pen., 80'), Taha (85')
Smal (67'), Propper (77')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Parrott (9'), Nieuwpoort (13')
Naujoks (24'), Dijkhuizen (25'), Driouech (26'), Horemans (57'), Nieuwpoort (59')
Zagre (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-3 FC Twente
Sunday, December 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-2 Excelsior
Saturday, December 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Apart from when PSV came to town at the end of last month, Twente are unbeaten at De Grolsch Veste this season and will be confident of adding three points to their tally on Friday. Excelsior were unconvincing during their stalemate at Waalwijk on the weekend, and we feel that the Kralingers' winless run in the Eredivisie will continue in Enschede. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 68.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawSBV Excelsior
68.73% (0.175 0.17) 17.31% (-0.058 -0.06) 13.96% (-0.115 -0.12)
Both teams to score 58.63% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.56% (0.019999999999996 0.02)32.44% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.93% (0.021999999999998 0.02)54.07% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.42% (0.043999999999997 0.04)8.58% (-0.0419 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.35% (0.107 0.11)29.65% (-0.106 -0.11)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.14% (-0.146 -0.15)35.86% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.36% (-0.148 -0.15)72.64% (0.14999999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 68.73%
    SBV Excelsior 13.96%
    Draw 17.31%
FC TwenteDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.28% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.59% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.78% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.66% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.29% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
6-1 @ 0.96% (0.007 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 68.73%
1-1 @ 7.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 17.31%
1-2 @ 3.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 13.96%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Excelsior

FC Twente
92.6%
Draw
3.7%
SBV Excelsior
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 5.45pm
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 3
FC Twente
4-0
Excelsior
Cleonise (1'), Tzolis (8'), Cerny (62', 90+2')
Dec 23, 2017 7.45pm
Oct 27, 2017 7pm
FC Twente
1-3
Excelsior
Boere (2')
Cuevas (38'), Lam (87')
Faik (41'), Massop (74'), Karami (80')
Caenepeel (84')
Feb 12, 2017 11.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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