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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
41.14% ( 0.03) | 24.54% ( -0.01) | 34.32% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 59.02% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.13% ( 0.05) | 43.86% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.75% ( 0.05) | 66.25% ( -0.05) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.62% ( 0.04) | 21.38% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.63% ( 0.06) | 54.36% ( -0.06) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.07% ( 0.01) | 24.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.43% ( 0.02) | 59.56% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 41.14% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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