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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
31.52% ( 0.06) | 23.65% ( 0) | 44.82% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 61.17% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.39% ( 0.01) | 40.6% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.01% ( 0.01) | 62.98% ( -0.02) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.97% ( 0.04) | 25.02% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.3% ( 0.06) | 59.69% ( -0.06) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.59% ( -0.02) | 18.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.43% ( -0.03) | 49.56% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.52% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.57% 1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 44.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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