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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Excelsior

Utrecht
2 - 2
Excelsior

Bozdogan (70'), Sagnan (90+3')
Sagnan (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Driouech (53'), Lamprou (62')
Baas (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 1-1 FC Twente
Sunday, November 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 AZ
Saturday, November 4 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-2 SBV Excelsior

With both of these teams collecting good points last weekend, Utrecht and Excelsior will be in optimistic moods ahead of Sunday night's clash at Stadion Galgenwaard. The hosts are unbeaten in their last three home matches across all competitions, but we believe that streak will come to an end against SBV in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.42%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawSBV Excelsior
55.42% (0.653 0.65) 22.18% (-0.239 -0.24) 22.4% (-0.413 -0.41)
Both teams to score 58% (0.265 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (0.607 0.61)41.1% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (0.614 0.61)63.49% (-0.61300000000001 -0.61)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26% (0.423 0.42)14.74% (-0.422 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.04% (0.805 0.81)42.95% (-0.80399999999999 -0.8)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)31.97% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (-0.032 -0.03)68.43% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 55.42%
    SBV Excelsior 22.4%
    Draw 22.17%
FC UtrechtDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.052 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 55.42%
1-1 @ 10.28% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.37% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 22.4%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Excelsior

FC Utrecht
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
SBV Excelsior
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2023 8pm
Oct 2, 2022 1.30pm
Feb 23, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Utrecht
0-0
Excelsior
Klaiber (9')
Koolwijk (21'), Fortes (60'), Messaoud (95')
Nov 30, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 14
Excelsior
3-3
Utrecht
Omarsson (6'), Koolwijk (8'), Bruins (26' pen.)
Matthys (81')
Kerk (55'), Venema (61'), Gustafson (65' pen.)
Tannane (23'), van der Maarel (25'), Klaiber (26'), Janssen (59')
Klaiber (85')
Feb 4, 2018 11.30am
Excelsior
2-2
Utrecht
Elbers (22'), Faik (77')
Haspolat (72')
Van der Maarel (25'), Labyad (73')
Kerk (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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