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FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
0 - 2
Almere City


Flamingo (38'), Novoa (60'), Fraulo (89')
Novoa (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Robinet (80'), van La Parra (89')
van Bruggen (22'), Mbe Soh (26'), Kitala (45+3'), Koopmeiners (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Utrecht
Saturday, September 23 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-4 PSV
Saturday, September 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-0 Almere City

Both sides have struggled from an attacking point of view so far this season, scoring just four goals in their opening six games, so Saturday's match is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair. However, given that they have home advantage, we expect a narrow victory for the hosts, which could move them out of the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawAlmere City
52.8% (-0.125 -0.13) 23.24% (0.112 0.11) 23.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.36% (-0.367 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (-0.493 -0.49)44.18% (0.489 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (-0.483 -0.48)66.56% (0.47799999999999 0.48)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (-0.226 -0.23)16.72% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.37% (-0.401 -0.4)46.63% (0.397 0.4)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (-0.259 -0.26)32.32% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (-0.296 -0.3)68.82% (0.291 0.29)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 52.8%
    Almere City 23.95%
    Draw 23.24%
FC UtrechtDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.133 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 52.8%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.114 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.1% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 23.95%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Almere City

FC Utrecht
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Almere City
14.3%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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