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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
New York City
Major League Soccer
Sep 8, 2022 at 1am UK
Yankee Stadium
FC Cincinnati

NY City
1 - 1
Cincinnati

Pereira (41')
Pereira (43'), Acevedo (84'), Chanot (90+3')
Martins (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martins (22' og.)
Nwobodo (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

Last Six:
Last Game: New England 3-0 NY City
Monday, September 5 at 1am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 3-2 FC Cincinnati

 As poor as the defending champions have been lately, Cincinnati have not sorted out their defensive issues, and while Cincy are potent in the final third, they still look vulnerable on the back end. The Orange and Blue are an ideal opponent for a side like NYCFC, and as entertaining as Cincinnati have been throughout this year, they struggle to put matches away when the opportunity arises, which we believe will benefit the Pigeons on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 12.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
69.16% (0.658 0.66) 17.86% (-0.28 -0.28) 12.99% (-0.377 -0.38)
Both teams to score 53.47% (-0.118 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.38% (0.402 0.4)37.62% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.14% (0.427 0.43)59.86% (-0.427 -0.43)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.16% (0.268 0.27)9.84% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.34% (0.61799999999999 0.62)32.66% (-0.617 -0.62)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.31% (-0.307 -0.31)40.69% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (-0.276 -0.28)77.28% (0.277 0.28)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 69.16%
    FC Cincinnati 12.99%
    Draw 17.86%
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 10.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.32% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.82% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 4.34% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.24% (0.086 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.01% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.02 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.9% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 69.16%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.01% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.86%
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-1 @ 3.6% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 12.99%

How you voted: NY City vs Cincinnati

New York City FC
63.6%
Draw
20.5%
FC Cincinnati
15.9%
44
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
4-4
NY City
Acosta (15'), Brenner (24', 30', 70')
Nwobodo (57'), Cruz (62'), Brenner (90')
Magno (45'), Heber (45+2', 45+7'), Pereira (52')
Haak (31'), Callens (31')
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY City
Brenner (4')
Cameron (48'), Barreal (74')
Barreal (85'), Atanga (90+5')
Parks (37'), Castellanos (60' pen.)
Tajouri (26'), Morales (69'), Jasson (77'), Johnson (83'), Callens (90+7'), Callens (90+7')
Apr 24, 2021 6pm
NY City
5-0
Cincinnati
Medina (7', 83'), Hagglund (53' og.), Thorarinsson (57'), Castellanos (67')
Thorarinsson (50'), Castellanos (60')

Harris (10'), Cruz (56')
Sep 27, 2020 12am
NY City
4-0
Cincinnati
Mitrita (1', 43'), Tinnerholm (25'), Medina (88')
Callens (34'), Matarrita (61'), Castellanos (78')

Waston (64'), Medunjanin (71')
Sep 13, 2020 12am
NY City
2-1
Cincinnati
Ring (39'), Tinnerholm (55')
Sands (78'), Chanot (84')
Vazquez (74')
Waston (52'), Deplagne (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
11Dallas113261216-411
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810
> Full Version


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