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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Atlanta United

Cincinnati
2 - 2
Atlanta

Vazquez (29'), Brenner (41')
Barreal (14'), Miazga (58'), Blackett (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Almada (17'), Gutman (83')
Wiley (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Seattle
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-2 Atlanta United

 As good as Atlanta have played versus Cincinnati in previous years, this is not nearly the same Orange and Blue side that we have seen in past seasons. They may still allow their share of openings on the back end, but Cincy's quality in the final third is difficult for even the most well-organised defensive units to contain, while the Five Stripes struggle away from home, without a win in their last nine road games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
42.63% (0.196 0.2) 24.97% (-0.299 -0.3) 32.4% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.91% (1.055 1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (1.356 1.36)46.35% (-1.351 -1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (1.265 1.27)68.64% (-1.261 -1.26)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.673 0.67)21.74% (-0.67 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09% (1.017 1.02)54.92% (-1.013 -1.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (0.73 0.73)27.28% (-0.728 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (0.939 0.94)62.72% (-0.935 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 42.63%
    Atlanta United 32.4%
    Draw 24.96%
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.63%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.4%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Atlanta

FC Cincinnati
66.7%
Draw
6.7%
Atlanta United
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
0-0
Cincinnati

Almada (8'), Sejdic (42'), Campbell (84')

Hagglund (44'), Kubo (45'), Badji (90+4')
Hagglund (77')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Cincinnati
1-2
Atlanta
Bailey (21')
Stanko (33'), Matarrita (88')
Robinson (70'), Martinez (79')
Hernandez (64'), Araujo (86')
Sep 16, 2021 12am
Atlanta
4-0
Cincinnati
Araujo (5'), Martinez (40', 55'), Barco (86')
Mo (73'), Wolff (90+1')

Brenner (39'), Castillo (45'), Matarrita (54'), Vazquez (79'), Duvall (82')
Jul 22, 2021 1am
Cincinnati
1-1
Atlanta
Acosta (61')
Gyau (38'), Vallecilla (45+3'), Acosta (86')
Hernandez (70')
Sosa (64'), Hernandez (71')
Nov 2, 2020 12am
Atlanta
2-0
Cincinnati
Jahn (8'), Moreno (26' pen.)
Jahn (22')

Amaya (45+3'), Gutman (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114
> Full Version


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