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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Columbus Crew Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Columbus Crew
2 - 0
Cincinnati

Camilo Hernandez (16'), Zelarayan (86' pen.)
Moreira (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hagglund (47'), Nwobodo (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Vancouver
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-2 FC Cincinnati

Both of these sides have found themselves amongst the goals at both ends of the pitch of late, and for that reason, we are predicting for this to be an open and entertaining affair on Sunday. Although it appears that something must give between two sides on impressive unbeaten runs, because of this, we are going for a draw at the Mapfre Stadium as a result of the two in-form teams cancelling each other out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
56.95% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 22.55% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 20.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.15% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)67.49% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.38% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)15.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.37% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)44.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.94% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.06% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 56.94%
    FC Cincinnati 20.5%
    Draw 22.54%
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 56.94%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.54%
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 20.5%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Cincinnati

Columbus Crew
46.7%
Draw
20.0%
FC Cincinnati
33.3%
15
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2021 11.30pm
Jul 10, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-2
Columbus Crew
Castillo (1'), Acosta (24')
Castillo (28'), Kubo (32'), Cameron (45+7'), Vallecilla (61'), Barreal (72'), Stanko (88')
Zelarayan (45+1'), Berry (77')
Afful (17'), Mensah (39')
Afful (42')
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-1
Columbus Crew
Kubo (17' pen.), Hagglund (49')
Gutman (7')
Santos (45' pen.)
Alashe (31'), Mensah (37'), Boateng (45+2'), Morris (90+3')
Sep 7, 2020 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-0
Cincinnati
Santos (52'), Zardes (64', 71')
Zardes (82')

Amaya (39'), van der Werff (70'), Waston (90')
Aug 30, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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