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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Orlando City

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Orlando City

Brenner (65')
Brenner (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

Last Six:
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Houston
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-1 Orlando City

 There is no doubt that Cincinnati are vastly improved, although they continue to struggle at home, winning only twice at TQL Stadium in 2022. Orlando have shown that they can be potent in the attacking third once in a while, but we have not seen enough consistency in that department to believe they will manage to shut down a dynamic attacking team in Cincy for a full 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
38.91% (1.808 1.81) 26.66% (-0.365 -0.36) 34.43% (-1.438 -1.44)
Both teams to score 51.85% (1.024 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89% (1.362 1.36)53.11% (-1.357 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (1.145 1.15)74.69% (-1.142 -1.14)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (1.683 1.68)26.65% (-1.68 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (2.171 2.17)61.89% (-2.169 -2.17)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.229 -0.23)29.3% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (-0.28 -0.28)65.27% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 38.9%
    Orlando City 34.43%
    Draw 26.65%
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.289 0.29)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.278 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.292 0.29)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.255 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.166 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.148 0.15)
4-0 @ 1% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.9%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.427 -0.43)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.583 -0.58)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.43%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Orlando City

FC Cincinnati
27.3%
Draw
33.3%
Orlando City
39.4%
33
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
1-2
Cincinnati
Urso (42')
Jansson (58'), Urso (73'), Carlos (81')
Vazquez (13', 53')
Vazquez (37'), Blackett (61'), Kubo (63'), Kann (90+2')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-1
Orlando City

Bailey (80'), Cameron (86')
Urso (13')
Carlos (66'), Perea (74')
Aug 8, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-1
Orlando City
Brenner (42')
Matarrita (53')
Nani (56')
Schlegel (68'), Mueller (77'), Dezart (84')
May 2, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
3-0
Cincinnati
Akindele (1'), Nani (19'), Urso (80')
Mendez (26'), Mueller (62')

Stanko (78')
Aug 2, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
P-P
Orlando City
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010
> Full Version


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