Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
36.4% ( -0.39) | 24.37% ( 0.04) | 39.23% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 60.02% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.29% ( -0.23) | 42.72% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.88% ( -0.23) | 65.12% ( 0.23) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.76% ( -0.31) | 23.25% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.84% ( -0.46) | 57.16% ( 0.46) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.2% ( 0.08) | 21.8% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.99% ( 0.11) | 55.01% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 36.4% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 39.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |