Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Lotto Park
Anderlecht2 - 0AZ
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Anderlecht 0-0 Westerlo
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: AZ 0-1 Sparta
Saturday, April 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, April 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: Anderlecht 1-0 AZ Alkmaar
While AZ Alkmaar have failed to win any of their last three games, Anderlecht have won four of their previous five, keeping five clean sheets in the process. With that in mind, we expect the hosts to achieve another shutout victory on Thursday, securing an important first-leg advantage to boot. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Anderlecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
36.51% ( 0.1) | 25.31% ( -0.01) | 38.18% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.65% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
