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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Apr 1, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Heerenveen

AZ
1 - 1
Heerenveen

Mous (75' og.)
Karlsson (41'), Clasie (52'), Reijnders (79'), van Brederode (90'), Mihailovic (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van Hooijdonk (5')
Kaib (85'), Nunnely (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Heerenveen

AZ and Heerenveen have had little problem finding the back of the net in recent weeks and we expect both teams to register at least once here. That said, AZ boast more quality all over the pitch and we are backing them to emerge triumphant in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
59.73% (-1.249 -1.25) 21.42% (0.128 0.13) 18.85% (1.121 1.12)
Both teams to score 54.93% (1.718 1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.51% (1.233 1.23)42.49% (-1.232 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1% (1.218 1.22)64.9% (-1.218 -1.22)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (0.01700000000001 0.02)13.84% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.78% (0.034999999999997 0.03)41.22% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (1.983 1.98)36.24% (-1.981 -1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.97% (1.959 1.96)73.03% (-1.958 -1.96)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 59.73%
    Heerenveen 18.85%
    Draw 21.41%
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.539 -0.54)
2-0 @ 9.81% (-0.531 -0.53)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.349 -0.35)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.179 0.18)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.089 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 59.73%
1-1 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.268 0.27)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.281 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.41%
1-2 @ 5.11% (0.268 0.27)
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.176 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.176 0.18)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.85%

How you voted: AZ vs Heerenveen

AZ Alkmaar
78.1%
Draw
12.5%
Heerenveen
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 5.45pm
May 22, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
2-0
Heerenveen
De Wit (5'), Aboukhlal (88')
Pavlidis (24'), Milos (41'), Martins Indi (45+1'), Aboukhlal (89')
May 19, 2022 5.45pm
Heerenveen
3-2
AZ
Van Hooijdonk (58'), Sarr (90'), Halilovic (90+4')
van Hooijdonk (4'), van Ewijk (20'), Haye (68')
Evjen (59'), Pavlidis (65')
Karlsson (79')
Apr 23, 2022 5.45pm
AZ
2-1
Heerenveen
Karlsson (44'), Reijnders (87')
Clasie (13')
Sarr (7')
Zaal (84'), Mulder (85')
Aug 29, 2021 3.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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